Field Notes Premium Edition

Don’t Worry About Black Swans

John Wallace · February 8, 2024 ·

It’s the white swan that’ll get you. The Black Swan. This is the event that financial markets and society fear… something so rare that nobody …

Jeff D. Opdyke · February 7, 2024 ·

3-bed homes in Florida for $49 per month. Today, we begin with a newspaper ad from 1955. This ad, specifically: This popped up on my Twitter/X …

Ted Baumann · February 3, 2024 ·

Don’t let statistics fool you. Jeff often writes about how safe it is to live in Europe, and especially his current home, Portugal. Today, I want …

Jeff D. Opdyke · February 2, 2024 ·

Am I Overreacting? I didn’t just wake up one morning mad at the people who stole my country. It took a number of years for it to play …

Jeff D. Opdyke · January 31, 2024 ·

Lock-In Solid Yields Before The Fed Cuts Rates There’s more than one way to skin an interest-rate cut. Which doesn’t really make a whole lot of …

Jeff D. Opdyke · January 26, 2024 ·

When Will Jerome Powell Wave His Magic Wand? We know the who. We also know the what, the where, and the why. Only thing we don’t know is the …

Jeff D. Opdyke · January 25, 2024 ·

Bitcoin Will Quadruple Before This Bull Market Ends Many a moment arose in my son’s teenage years when I just wanted to wring his neck. Kids do …

Jeff D. Opdyke · January 24, 2024 ·

Americans Don’t Feel Peace at Home… “Given the neighborhood you’re in geographically, what’s the risk like here?” I asked the guy sitting next to …

Jeff D. Opdyke · January 23, 2024 ·

The Magical Internet Money Machine Keeps Churning The Magical Internet Money Machine goes brrrrrr once more. That’s crypto chatter for a …

Ted Baumann · January 20, 2024 ·

The Magnificent Nine Years ago, when apartheid still ruled, I had to produce a passport to enter the “Bantustan” territories, which the rest of the …